Thanks to my daughter Kathy for naming this blog.

















Bald Eagle in Anchorage, Alaska

Translate

Wednesday, October 3, 2012

The Arms Race Against the World

Mitt Romeny's foreign policy advisors are from the same group of advisors which led the United States into war in Iraq.  The primary point of neo-conservative foreign policy  is to build military capability beyond challenge, but that level of military spending is unsustainable considering our current budget deficits.  It is an arms race against the world.
-----------------------
Maureen Dowd recently wrote a column about the Republican Presidential campaign and its advisors for foreign policy in the Mid-east.   Dowd received criticism for what some considered an anti-Semitic bias in her comments, and support from others who saw no bias. 

For my part, I think she was on-target.  Foreign policy under a Romney administration would be directed by the same group of Neo-conservatives that guided the Bush administration into Iraq.   I recall the Neoconservative vision that the Iraq war would cost less than $50 billion, and that pro-American democracy would spread from Iraq throughout the Middle-east.    You might say it’s funny how that worked out. 

The total cost of the war in Iraq to Americans is now estimated at over $3 trillion (not including costs to other nations, including Iraq).   As for the spread of pro-American democracy in the Mid-east, you can judge for yourself based upon recent events.

------
Let’s look at Neo-Conservative thinking with regard to foreign policy. 


Neo-conservative foreign policy is based on the idea that America is the world’s sole superpower, and should remain the world’s sole superpower.   The ideology is expressed as the “Bush Doctrine”, which is considered synonymous with Neo-conservative foreign policy.
There are four points to the doctrine.

1)  America should keep a military capability beyond challenge in the world.  Neo-conservatives believe that other countries will recognize America’s power as benign.  They believe that weaker countries will choose to align themselves with the United States, rather than opposing America’s military power.
2)  America holds the right to use pre-emptive (first-strike) military force, as considered necessary. 
3)  America will choose to act unilaterally as needed, bypassing the United Nations, bypassing the process of building an international consensus, and ignoring the opinion of the international community with regard to military action.
4)  America should promote democracy globally.   This facet of the policy was considered particularly important in the Islamic world, where democracy was considered a crucial element in combating terrorism.  Neo-conservatives believe that promoting democracy, by force if necessary, will create a safer and more pro-American world.

[Primary Source: The Bush Doctrine and the Iraq War; http://www.aup.edu/pdf/WPSeries/AUP_wp61-WilliamsSchmidt.pdf]

The Neo-Conservative world-view ignores the realities of human psychology, the rights of other nations to self-determination, and the costs of carrying out this vision.

In considering a superpower with a commitment to pre-emptive military force and unilateral action, weaker nations are unlikely to consider America’s power as benign.  The Bush Doctrine creates fear, and provides every motivation to develop or acquire nuclear weapons, which may be the only weapons which could deter an American attack.  Thus every nation which might be potentially in opposition to the United States is motivated to build the greatest military capability as possible.  Further, neo-conservatives never considered the possibility that emergent democracies might be in greater opposition to America than the preceding dictatorships.

America’s military spending amounts to nearly 5% of annual GDP.    Our annual military spending is greater than military spending by China, Russia, Britain, France, Japan, Saudi Arabia, India, Germany, Brazil, combined (after adjustments for purchasing power).   In fact, America’s annual military spending exceeds the GDP of all but the top 18 nations on earth, at a time when we are running budget deficits which threaten to bankrupt the country.

Foreign policy under Mitt Romney as president would implement the same principles as foreign policy of the Bush presidency.   It would be directed by some of the same people who were involved in the Bush presidency.  And it would be informed by the same naïve beliefs that caused America to fail to distinguish between the secular, dictatorial government of Saddam Hussein with the theocratic religious fanatics of Al Qaeda. 

The recent events in Libya, and the responses by the presidential candidates provide a clear example of what can be expected from each candidate in the event of international crisis.   President Obama’s slow, careful, measured response produced the most meaningful results: Libyans themselves stormed the headquarters of the Islamist militias who killed the American ambassador.  Which is a more effective foreign policy than another American invasion.
-------
References:
I found criticism of the Neo-conservatives similar to Dowd’s piece in various places.   The Neo-conservative viewpoint is rooted in an arrogant idea of American infallibility, and American global military supremacy that we simply cannot afford.   Specific to the Mid-east, the Neo-conservative view supports the idea of Greater Israel.   Some suggest that we went to war in Iraq, not because Iraq posed a threat to the United States, but because Iraq posed a threat to Israel.
Views similar to Maureen Dowd’s can be found here:
Iraq:  A War for Israel; Mark Weber, Institute for Historical Review,
The Real Reason for the Iraq War; Lee Whitnum, author & congressional candidate
The Bush Doctrine and the Iraq War;
Cost of Iraq War; Joseph Stiglitz and Linda Bilmes, Washington Post

Comparison of Obama's and Romney's response in regard to the crisis in Libya is found here.




No comments:

Post a Comment